Tuesday, October 22, 2019

Andy Todd's 2019-20 NBA Preview

It's one of the best weeks on the sports calendar as the NBA season tips off the same night as the World Series begins and trade talks heat up in the middle of the NFL season. After striking out on my prediction of "The Warriors are unbeatable and this season will suck" of last year (reverse jinx really worked on that one!), I'm giving it another shot at predicting how the dominoes might fall in the NBA for the 2019-20 season after the greatest offseason of all-time saw the best teams in the league thinned out for the benefit of all the lesser teams in favor of parity. It is truly the most unpredictable season since the Mavericks sneaked in a championship over Lebron's first Miami Heat team. There are more teams with a chance at the Larry O'Brien trophy this season than any year over the past decade when Lebron was at his peak, dominating the East and the Warriors were busy building the first ever "Big Four".starring Kevin Durant. Now Lebron might just be finished and KD is injured plus Kawhi Leonard is at their level and he just switched teams to a complete unknown in the Clippers! I mean... What the hell is going to happen? I'm going to have an easier time making end of decade music choices than I will ranking the Western conference this year. There's even fewer obvious tankjobs than in the past with Charlotte accidentally at the top of the bottom after paying Terry Rozier for some reason and the Wizards looking lost due to John Wall's Achilles. 

Image result for clippers 2019 paul george
Ringo H.W. Chiu/Associated Press
You know the NBA offseason was wild when Anthony Davis joined the Lakers and they aren't even the headliners in their own city anymore.

It's time to unveil my picks for the upcoming 2019-20 NBA season but first, here's one last look at how the rosters will shape out (with the names listed in order of how many wins shared I see each player getting) and a little note to summarize what's to come for each franchise. 

(Rosters as of October 21st, 2019)
+ = Injured to begin season
* = Rookie

Atlanta Hawks
Head Coach: Lloyd Pierce


John Collins
Trae Young
Alex Len
Kevin Huerter
Evan Turner
Jabari Parker
De'Andre Hunter*
Allen Crabbe
Damian Jones
Cam Reddish*
Vince Carter
DeAndre' Bembry
Bruno Fernando*
Chandler Parsons
Armoni Brooks*

I really want to get excited about the prospect of Collins, Young, Hunter and Cam Reddish playing together as a sleeper eighth seed but, the additions of Evan Turner and Jabari Parker feel like negatives after the two former #2 picks have flamed out in multiple locations.


Boston Celtics
Head Coach: Brad Stevens

Kemba Walker
Jayson Tatum
Marcus Smart
Gordon Hayward
Enes Kanter
Jaylen Brown
Daniel Theis
Robert Williams
Romeo Langford*
Grant Williams*
Carsen Edwards*
Brad Wanamaker
Semi Ojeleye
Vincent Poirier*
Yante Maten

The locker room has begun the rehabilitation process by dropping two point guards that didn't seem like Team-first guys (or at least, Kyrie certainly didn't play like it come playoff time) and Kemba Walker should make the second round for the first time in his career.

Brooklyn Nets
Head Coach: Kenny Atkinson

Kyrie Irving
Jarrett Allen
Caris LeVert
Joe Harris
DeAndre Jordan
Spencer Dinwiddie
Taurean Prince
Rodions Kurucs
Garrett Temple
Theo Pinson
David Nwaba
Lance Thomas
Dzanan Musa
Nicolas Claxton*
Kevin Durant+

It won't take much for the hype behind Brooklyn's offseason to result in a serious disappointment for this one year at least as they still had to sacrifice the identity of "flashy young upstarts" carried by D'Angelo Russell for an unavailable Kevin Durant and two streaky vets in Kyrie and DeAndre Jordan.

Charlotte Hornets
Head Coach: James Borrego

Miles Bridges
Cody Zeller
Nicolas Batum
Terry Rozier
Willy Hernangomez
Marvin Williams
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
Bismack Biyombo
Dwayne Bacon
Malik Monk
Devonte' Graham
P.J. Washington*
Kobi Simmons
Cody Martin*
Caleb Martin*

If James Borrego is going to fit in the NBA long-term, he'll need to get this team to 30 wins and that seems like too tall of a task for a team that NEEDS Miles Bridges to be a budding superstar.

Chicago Bulls
Head Coach: Jim Boylen

Zach LaVine
Thaddeus Young
Lauri Markkanen
Wendell Carter
Otto Porter Jr.
Denzel Valentine
Coby White*
Tomas Satoransky
Cristiano Felicio
Shaquille Harrison
Luke Kornet
Ryan Arcidiacono
Chandler Hutchison
Daniel Gafford*
Milton Doyle

Is that optimism in the air for the Bulls? I think so. The young core looks even better with Denzel Valentine healthy and a new point guard in Coby White who looked positively Derrick Rose-ish in the preseason plus, they have that needed steady veteran presence in Thaddeus Young to help push this team into the 40-win territory either this year or next.

Cleveland Cavaliers
Head Coach: John Beilein

Kevin Love
Cedi Osman
Tristan Thompson
Larry Nance Jr.
Ante Zizic'
Darius Garland*
Jordan Clarkson
Matthew Dellavedova
Brandon Knight
Alfonzo McKinnie
John Henson
Kevin Porter Jr.*
Dylan Windler*
Collin Sexton
Marques Bolden*

Good on Kevin Love for sticking it out with this team headed nowhere fast but, his time on the trading block is all this team will generate in terms of interest.

Detroit Pistons
Head Coach: Dwane Casey

Andre Drummond
Blake Griffin
Reggie Jackson
Derrick Rose
Bruce Brown
Markieff Morris
Luke Kennard
Tony Snell
Langston Galloway
Thon Maker
Tim Frazier
Christian Wood
Sviatoslav Mykhailiuk
Joe Johnson
Sekou Doumbouya*

They're one Blake Griffin injury away from being pretty, pretty bad. Derrick Rose could be the next annual Sixth Man of the Year candidate though.

Indiana Pacers
Head Coach: Nate McMillan

Victor Oladipo+
Myles Turner
Domantas Sabonis
Malcolm Brogdon
Jeremy Lamb
T.J. McConnell
T.J. Warren
Justin Holiday
T.J. Leaf
Aaron Holiday
Doug McDermott
Edmond Sumner
JaKarr Sampson
Goga Bitadze*
Alize Johnson

Oladipo will probably miss the first 10-15 games which gives the new guys (Warren, Brogdon, Lamb, McConnell and Justin Holiday) a chance to work things out together before the offense is run through their best player. Domantas Sabonis doesn't want to come off the bench anymore and between he and Turner, someone might be dealt if the team only hovers around .500.

Miami Heat
Head Coach: Erik Spoelstra

Jimmy Butler
Bam Adebayo
Goran Dragic
James Johnson
Kelly Olynyk
Tyler Herro*
Justise Winslow
Meyers Leonard
Derrick Jones Jr.
Dion Waiters
Duncan Robinson
Davon Reed
KZ Okpala*
Udonis Haslem
Kendrick Nunn*

Jimmy Buckets will get plenty of buckets as the face of the new Miami Heat. Hassan Whiteside's defense will be missed but, the opportunity is there for Bam Adebayo to make a huge leap.

Milwaukee Bucks
Head Coach: Mike Budenholzer

Giannis Antetokounmpo
Khris Middleton
Eric Bledsoe
Brook Lopez
Ersan Ilyasova
Pat Connaughton
George Hill
Wesley Matthews
Robin Lopez
Sterling Brown
Donte DiVincenzo
D.J. Wilson
Kyle Korver
Dragan Bender
Jaylen Adams

A former basketball purgatory, Milwaukee is now home to one of the NBA's top teams thanks to GM Jon Horst and the shocking development of Giannis Antetokounmpo. They've added some veteran savvy and clutch shooting this offseason in Korver and Matthews but, losing Malcolm Brogdon hurts them more than it helps the Pacers.

New York Knicks
Head Coach: David Fizdale

Julius Randle
Mitchell Robinson
R.J. Barrett*
Marcus Morris
Reggie Bullock
Bobby Portis
Damyean Dotson
Wayne Ellington
Taj Gibson
Dennis Smith Jr.
Elfrid Payton
Allonzo Trier
Ignas Brazdeikis*
Kevin Knox
Frank Ntilikina

The New York PowerForwards are a confusing team that will probably limp to 25 wins despite nice showings from Randle & Robinson and the opportunity is there for R.J. Barrett to become a huge name right away. It is New York after all.

Orlando Magic
Head Coach: Steve Clifford

Nikola Vucevic'
Aaron Gordon
Jonathan Isaac
Evan Fournier
D.J. Augustin
Al-Farouq Aminu
Terrence Ross
Mo Bamba
Markelle Fultz
Khem Birch
Wesley Iwundu
Melvin Frazier
Michael Carter-Williams
Amile Jefferson
Chuma Okeke*+

Last season's eight seed is another year wiser and an Al-Farouq Aminu stronger. Is Fultz ever going to be anything? What about Mo Bamba? It might end up making the difference between a return to the postseason or none.

Philadelphia 76ers
Head Coach: Brett Brown

Joel Embiid
Ben Simmons
Tobias Harris
Al Horford
Josh Richardson
Jonah Bolden
Mike Scott
James Ennis
Kyle O'Quinn
Trey Burke
Furkan Korkmaz
Zhaire Smith
Raul Neto
Matisse Thybulle*
Shake Milton

One hell of an offseason saw Philly drop Jimmy Butler for Al Horford, Josh Richardson and Trey Burke. Will it be enough to make the finals? How about the conference finals? If Ben Simmons can shoot, Yes is the answer.

Your Defending NBA Champion Toronto Raptors
Head Coach: Nick Nurse

Pascal Siakam
Kyle Lowry
Marc Gasol
Serge Ibaka
Fred VanVleet
Norman Powell
OG Anunoby
Patrick McCaw
Chris Boucher
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
Cameron Payne
Stanley Johnson
Matt Thomas*
Dewan Hernandez*
Isaiah Taylor

Just enjoy last season's highlights.

Washington Wizards
Head Coach: Scott Brooks

Bradley Beal
Davis Bertans
Thomas Bryant
Rui Hachimura*
Isaiah Thomas+
Troy Brown
Ish Smith
C.J. Miles
Ian Mahinmi+
Jordan McRae
Moritz Wagner
Admiral Schofield*
Justin Robinson*
Isaac Bonga
Chris Chiozza

Without John Wall, the Wizards should be listening to offers for Bradley Beal. Davis Bertans will surprise some people that ignored the post-Kawhi Spurs.

Dallas Mavericks
Head Coach: Rick Carlisle

Luka Doncic'
Kristaps Porzingis
Dwight Powell
Jalen Brunson
Maxi Kleber
Delon Wright
Dorian Finney-Smith
Justin Jackson
Tim Hardaway Jr.
Boban Marjanovic
Seth Curry
J.J. Barea
Ryan Broekhoff
Courtney Lee
Isaiah Roby*

They're one Kyle Lowry trade away from creating some real havoc in the West. Patience will be key in easing Kristaps Porzingis back onto the court as a Maverick for the first time. The Mavs are a year away.

Denver Nuggets
Head Coach: Mike Malone

Nikola Jokic
Jamal Murray
Gary Harris
Paul Millsap
Monte Morris
Will Barton
Jerami Grant
Mason Plumlee
Malik Beasley
Juan Hernangomez
Torrey Craig
Michael Porter*+
Jarred Vanderbilt
Bol Bol*
P.J. Dozier

Now is the time for Denver to strike and the one wildcard here is Michael Porter Jr. If he lives up to the hype he carried when he came to Missouri, these are the favorites in the West. They might just be that good without him too.

Golden State Warriors
Head Coach: Steve Kerr

Stephen Curry
D'Angelo Russell
Draymond Green
Kevon Looney
Willie Cauley-Stein
Glenn Robinson III
Alec Burks
Omari Spellman
Jordan Poole*
Marquese Chriss
Jacob Evans
Eric Paschall*
Damion Lee
Ky Bowman
Klay Thompson+

They aren't at 100% health and had to completely rebuild the bench but, miss me with that "They might miss the playoffs" BS, Stephen Curry is still at the "could carry anyone to the playoffs" level that ensures they have no problem easing D'Angelo Russell and Willie Cauley-Stein into that winning culture.

Houston Rockets
Head Coach: Mike D'Antoni

James Harden
Clint Capela
Russell Westbrook
Eric Gordon
P.J. Tucker
Tyson Chandler
Thabo Sefolosha
Austin Rivers
Danuel House
Ben McLemore
Nene' Hilario
Gerald Green+
Isaiah Hartenstein
Gary Clark
Ryan Anderson

Of all the offseason moves, Russell Westbrook to Houston makes me most nervous. I can't envision this team winning a championship with Mike D'Antoni on the hot seat and things could go south FAST as they did in OKC last year.

Los Angeles Clippers
Head Coach: Doc Rivers

Kawhi Leonard
Paul George
Patrick Beverley
Ivica Zubac
Montrezl Harrell
Lou Williams
Landry Shamet
Maurice Harkless
JaMychal Green
Rodney McGruder
Patrick Patterson
Jerome Robinson
Jonathan Motley
Mfiondou Kabengele*
Terance Mann*

Yes, getting Kawhi and Paul George were amazingly shrewd maneuvers but, adding vets like Moe Harkless, JaMychal Green and Patrick Patterson to the bench should keep their leads safe when it comes time for the starters to rest. A top-four team in the West for sure.

Los Angeles Lakers
Head Coach: Frank Vogel

LeBron James
Anthony Davis
Kyle Kuzma
Danny Green
Dwight Howard
Rajon Rondo
JaVale McGee
Jared Dudley
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
Quinn Cook
Avery Bradley
Troy Daniels
Alex Caruso
Zach Norvell Jr.*
Kostas Antetokounmpo

The Lake Show is going to be a reality show again with Dwight Howard in town but, the dude can still get boards! If not, JaVale McGee was actually a highlight from last year's disappointing results so they at least have him to fall back on. 

Memphis Grizzlies
Head Coach: Taylor Jenkins

Jonas Valanciunas
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Ja Morant*
Kyle Anderson+
Jae Crowder
Dillon Brooks
Andre Iguodala
Tyus Jones
Solomon Hill
Brandon Clarke*
De'Anthony Melton
Marko Guduric'*
Bruno Caboclo
Grayson Allen
Josh Jackson

If Ja Morant has the immediate success that many think he'll have, it might not make much of a difference with this roster. Andre Iguodala quite possibly doesn't play a single minute for this team as he has demanded a trade already. Look for him to get his wins shared elsewhere.

Minnesota Timberwolves
Head Coach: Ryan Saunders

Karl-Anthony Towns
Robert Covington
Jeff Teague
Gorgui Dieng
Andrew Wiggins
Jake Layman
Jordan Bell
Josh Okogie
Shabazz Napier
Jarrett Culver*
Treveon Graham
Noah Vonleh
Keita Bates-Diop
Naz Reid*
Jaylen Nowell*

The Timberwolves took some chances on young players with flashes of brilliance in their fledgling careers. Jordan Bell, Jake Layman and Shabazz Napier don't necessarily put this team in the postseason but, they aren't going to fall under 35 wins.

New Orleans Pelicans
Head Coach: Alvin Gentry

Derrick Favors
Jrue Holiday
Lonzo Ball
Zion Williamson*+
Brandon Ingram
J.J. Redick
Jahlil Okafor
E'Twaun Moore
Josh Hart
Frank Jackson
Nickeil Alexander-Walker*
Jaxson Hayes*
Kenrich Williams
Nicolo' Melli*
Darius Miller+

A completely new team with Jrue Holiday as the only returning starter, there is reason for optimism here. The playoffs seem too tall of a task for a bunch of Laker rejects though.

Oklahoma City Thunder
Head Coach: Billy Donovan

Danilo Gallinari
Chris Paul
Steven Adams
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Dennis Schroder
Nerlens Noel
Terrance Ferguson
Mike Muscala
Hamidou Diallo
Andre Roberson
Abdel Nader
Darius Bazley*
Justin Patton
Deonte Burton
Luguentz Dort*

Everyone wants Chris Paul and his contract to get moved but, there's a very real team here with the right coaching. SGA and Gallinari thrived under Doc Rivers and now, Billy Donovan gets one more chance to prove his worth.

Phoenix Suns
Head Coach: Monty Williams

Deandre Ayton
Devin Booker
Dario Saric
Ricky Rubio
Kelly Oubre Jr.
Mikal Bridges
Tyler Johnson
Aron Baynes
Cameron Johnson*
Ty Jerome*
Frank Kaminsky
Cheick Diallo
Jevon Carter
Elie Okobo
Jalen Lecque*

The ownership hasn't changed so, they're screwed. Devin Booker needs to improve his defense.

Portland Trail Blazers
Head Coach: Terry Stotts

Damian Lillard
C.J. McCollum
Hassan Whiteside
Rodney Hood
Zach Collins
Jusuf Nurkic'+
Kent Bazemore
Anfernee Simons
Anthony Tolliver
Pau Gasol
Skal Labissiere
Nassir Little*
Mario Hezonja
Gary Trent Jr.
Moses Brown*

The Blazers do not have any depth that isn't super raw (Simons, Skal, Little) or super old (Pau Gasol). Jusuf Nurkic's return will do wonders for this potential playoff team but, returning to the conference finals looks really difficult.

Sacramento Kings
Head Coach: Luke Walton

Buddy Hield
De'Aaron Fox
Marvin Bagley III
Harrison Barnes
Nemanja Bjelica
DeWayne Dedmon
Bogdan Bogdanovic
Harry Giles
Cory Joseph
Richaun Holmes
Yogi Ferrell
Trevor Ariza
Kyle Guy*
Caleb Swanigan
Justin James*

I'm not sure why the King dumped Dave Joerger after their most optimistic season in a decade for an unproven Luke Walton. Teams are expecting their speedy offense now so, they may be prime candidates for a surprise regression (Key word: MIGHT).

San Antonio Spurs
Head Coach: Gregg Popovich

DeMar DeRozan
LaMarcus Aldridge
Jakob Poeltl
Dejounte Murray
Bryn Forbes
Derrick White
Rudy Gay
DeMarre Carroll
Lonnie Walker IV
Marco Belinelli
Trey Lyles
Patty Mills
Luka Samanic'*
Keldon Johnson*
Chimezie Metu

Do not sleep on the Popovich-coached team getting it's starting point guard back from injury (Murray) with a new veteran presence (Carroll) and another foreign talent (Samanic'). 

Utah Jazz
Head Coach: Quin Snyder

Rudy Gobert
Donovan Mitchell
Mike Conley
Bojan Bogdanovic
Ed Davis
Joe Ingles
Royce O'Neale
Jeff Green
Dante Exum
Tony Bradley
Emmanuel Mudiay
Georges Niang
Justin Wright-Foreman*
Jarrell Brantley*
Miye Oni*

They took last season's disappointing first-round exit and added Mike Conley, Bojan Bogdanovic and Ed Davis to replace Ricky Rubio (Conley's an improvement), Derrick Favors and Thabo Sefolosha (the other two even out a bit). One of the few NBA teams with a real, identifiable Big 3 remaining. 

2018-19 Predictions
Western Conference
1. Denver Nuggets
2. Utah Jazz
3. Los Angeles Clippers
4. Golden State Warriors
5. San Antonio Spurs
6. Los Angeles Lakers
7. Portland Trail Blazers
8. Houston Rockets
9. Dallas Mavericks
10. Oklahoma City Thunder
11. Sacramento Kings
12. Minnesota Timberwolves
13. New Orleans Pelicans
14. Phoenix Suns
15. Memphis Grizzlies

Eastern Conference
1. Milwaukee Bucks
2. Philadelphia 76ers
3. Boston Celtics
4. Toronto Raptors
5. Miami Heat
6. Brooklyn Nets 
7. Indiana Pacers
8. Orlando Magic
9. Atlanta Hawks
10. Detroit Pistons
11. Chicago Bulls
12. Washington Wizards
13. New York Knicks
14. Charlotte Hornets
15. Cleveland Cavaliers

MVP: Kawhi Leonard
ROTY: Ja Morant
DPOTY: Marcus Smart
6th Man: Derrick Rose
Coach of the Year: Gregg Popovich
Most Improved: Miles Bridges

Western Playoffs
1st Round
DEN 4 - HOU 1
UTA 4 - POR 0
LAC 4 - LAL 2
SAS 4 - GSW 3

2nd Round
SAS 4 - DEN 3
LAC 4 - UTA 1

Western Conference Finals
SAS 4 - LAC 3

Eastern Playoffs
1st Round
MIL 4 - ORL 1
PHI 4 - IND 0
BOS 4 - BRK 0
MIA 4 - TOR 3

2nd Round
MIL 4 - MIA 2
PHI 4 - BOS 2

Eastern Conference Finals
PHI 4 - MIL 1 

Finals Prediction - 76ers over Spurs in 6.

Finals MVP - Tobias Harris.

Good luck to the team or player of your choice (It is a players driven league now). Otherwise, I hope I'm not too far off with some of these fairly baseless predictions for an unpredictable year.

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